tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Orlando → Rochester via Detroit: arrives on time 39%

  1. 17:50 MCO → 20:45 DTW
    DL 337 · Delta · 2h 55m · 62% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:35 DTW → 22:54 ROC
    DL 3148 · Delta · 1h 19m · 74% on time, 3.6% cancelled

Total trip 5h 04m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection56%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 44% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time39%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (56%) × second flight not cancelled (3.6% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip5h 04mMCO 17:50 to ROC 22:54, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.