tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Fayetteville/Springdale/ via Atlanta: arrives on time 72%

  1. 06:59 LGA → 09:20 ATL
    DL 342 · Delta · 2h 21m · 94% on time, 4.0% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:15 ATL → 11:17 XNA
    DL 4082 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 2h 02m · 81% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 18m, scheduled departure to arrival (Fayetteville/Springdale/ is 1 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time72%First flight not cancelled (4.0% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip5h 18mLGA 06:59 to XNA 11:17, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.