tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Chicago via Atlanta: arrives on time 75%

  1. 08:00 DCA → 09:52 ATL
    DL 343 · Delta · 1h 52m · 87% on time, 2.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 13m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:05 ATL → 12:05 MDW
    DL 2417 · Delta · 2h 00m · 88% on time, 2.6% cancelled

Total trip 5h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Washington). Times are local. Both flew on 53 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 28 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 13m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (2.7% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (2.6% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip5h 05mDCA 08:00 to MDW 12:05, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.