tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Phoenix via Atlanta: arrives on time 70%

  1. 08:00 DCA → 09:52 ATL
    DL 343 · Delta · 1h 52m · 87% on time, 2.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 18m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:10 ATL → 12:12 PHX
    DL 796 · Delta · 4h 02m · 81% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 7h 12m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 3 h behind Washington). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 33 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 18m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (2.7% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip7h 12mDCA 08:00 to PHX 12:12, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.