tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Orlando → Sacramento via Seattle: arrives on time 87%

  1. 09:05 MCO → 12:15 SEA
    DL 347 · Delta · 6h 10m · 86% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 2h 30m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:45 SEA → 16:47 SMF
    DL 4153 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 2h 02m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 10h 42m, scheduled departure to arrival (Sacramento is 3 h behind Orlando). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 105 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 30m layover.
Arrives on time87%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip10h 42mMCO 09:05 to SMF 16:47, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.