tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Jacksonville via Atlanta: arrives on time 46%

  1. 10:21 PHX → 17:00 ATL
    DL 348 · Delta · 3h 39m · 83% on time, 0.3% cancelled
  2. 53m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:53 ATL → 19:13 JAX
    DL 2189 · Delta · 1h 20m · 64% on time, 2.2% cancelled

Total trip 5h 52m, scheduled departure to arrival (Jacksonville is 3 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 49 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection74%The first flight arrived more than 8 minutes late on 26% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 53m layover.
Arrives on time46%First flight not cancelled (0.3% are) × connection made (74%) × second flight not cancelled (2.2% are) and within 15 minutes (64%).
Total trip5h 52mPHX 10:21 to JAX 19:13, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.