tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Sioux Falls via Atlanta: arrives on time 70%

  1. 10:21 PHX → 17:00 ATL
    DL 348 · Delta · 3h 39m · 83% on time, 0.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 16m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:16 ATL → 19:59 FSD
    DL 2615 · Delta · 2h 43m · 79% on time, 0.8% cancelled

Total trip 7h 38m, scheduled departure to arrival (Sioux Falls is 2 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 31 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 16m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (0.3% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (0.8% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip7h 38mPHX 10:21 to FSD 19:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.