tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Memphis via Atlanta: arrives on time 57%

  1. 10:21 PHX → 17:00 ATL
    DL 348 · Delta · 3h 39m · 83% on time, 0.3% cancelled
  2. 53m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:53 ATL → 18:18 MEM
    DL 2939 · Delta · 1h 25m · 78% on time, 1.5% cancelled

Total trip 5h 57m, scheduled departure to arrival (Memphis is 2 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection74%The first flight arrived more than 8 minutes late on 26% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 53m layover.
Arrives on time57%First flight not cancelled (0.3% are) × connection made (74%) × second flight not cancelled (1.5% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip5h 57mPHX 10:21 to MEM 18:18, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.