tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → San Francisco via Los Angeles: arrives on time 44%

  1. 14:59 BNA → 17:12 LAX
    DL 355 · Delta · 4h 22m · 84% on time, 1.7% cancelled
  2. 3h 13m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:25 LAX → 21:49 SFO
    DL 2197 · Delta · 1h 25m · 45% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 8h 51m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Francisco is 2 h behind Nashville). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 148 minutes late on <1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 13m layover.
Arrives on time44%First flight not cancelled (1.7% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (45%).
Total trip8h 51mBNA 14:59 to SFO 21:49, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.