tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Birmingham via Atlanta: arrives on time 44%

  1. 16:00 DCA → 17:57 ATL
    DL 360 · Delta · 1h 57m · 73% on time, 0.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 02m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:59 ATL → 18:57 BHM
    DL 2371 · Delta · 58m · 63% on time, 5.8% cancelled

Total trip 3h 57m, scheduled departure to arrival (Birmingham is 1 h behind Washington). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection74%The first flight arrived more than 17 minutes late on 26% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 02m layover.
Arrives on time44%First flight not cancelled (0.9% are) × connection made (74%) × second flight not cancelled (5.8% are) and within 15 minutes (63%).
Total trip3h 57mDCA 16:00 to BHM 18:57, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.