tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → Charlotte via Detroit: arrives on time 48%

  1. 11:39 SFO → 19:14 DTW
    DL 361 · Delta · 4h 33m · 78% on time, 0.7% cancelled
  2. 51m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:05 DTW → 21:55 CLT
    DL 2352 · Delta · 1h 50m · 74% on time, 1.6% cancelled

Total trip 7h 16m, scheduled departure to arrival (Charlotte is 3 h ahead of San Francisco). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection66%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 34% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time48%First flight not cancelled (0.7% are) × connection made (66%) × second flight not cancelled (1.6% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip7h 16mSFO 11:39 to CLT 21:55, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.