tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Anchorage → Dulles via Minneapolis: arrives on time 66%

  1. 22:02 ANC → 06:25 MSP
    DL 377 · Delta · 5h 23m · 82% on time, 0.6% cancelled
  2. 52m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 07:17 MSP → 10:52 IAD +1 day
    DL 3699 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 2h 35m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dulles is 4 h ahead of Anchorage). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection75%The first flight arrived more than 7 minutes late on 25% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 52m layover.
Arrives on time66%First flight not cancelled (0.6% are) × connection made (75%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip8h 50mANC 22:02 to IAD 10:52, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.