tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Fairbanks via Anchorage: arrives on time 80%

  1. 18:10 MSP → 20:52 ANC
    DL 377 · Delta · 5h 42m · 66% on time, 0.4% cancelled
  2. 2h 48m layover in Anchorage (ANC) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 23:40 ANC → 00:44 FAI +1 day
    AS 2250 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 04m · 95% on time, 9.5% cancelled

Total trip 9h 34m, scheduled departure to arrival (Fairbanks is 3 h behind Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 21 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 78 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 48m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (0.4% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (9.5% are) and within 15 minutes (95%).
Total trip9h 34mMSP 18:10 to FAI 00:44, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.