tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Atlanta → Madison via Washington: arrives on time 77%

  1. 09:20 ATL → 11:08 DCA
    DL 380 · Delta · 1h 47m · 82% on time, 1.6% cancelled
  2. 4h 12m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:20 DCA → 16:41 MSN
    DL 5645 · Delta, flown by Republic · 2h 21m · 80% on time, 1.6% cancelled

Total trip 8h 21m, scheduled departure to arrival (Madison is 1 h behind Atlanta). Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 207 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 4h 12m layover.
Arrives on time77%First flight not cancelled (1.6% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (1.6% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip8h 21mATL 09:20 to MSN 16:41, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.