tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Tulsa via Atlanta: arrives on time 59%

  1. 12:17 DCA → 14:07 ATL
    DL 380 · Delta · 1h 50m · 81% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:55 ATL → 15:53 TUL
    DL 1186 · Delta · 2h 01m · 84% on time, 0.4% cancelled

Total trip 4h 39m, scheduled departure to arrival (Tulsa is 1 h behind Washington). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection71%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 29% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time59%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (71%) × second flight not cancelled (0.4% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip4h 39mDCA 12:17 to TUL 15:53, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.