tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Miami via Atlanta: arrives on time 43%

  1. 12:17 DCA → 14:07 ATL
    DL 380 · Delta · 1h 50m · 81% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 47m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:54 ATL → 17:00 MIA
    DL 1386 · Delta · 2h 06m · 63% on time, 1.5% cancelled

Total trip 4h 43m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection70%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 30% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time43%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (70%) × second flight not cancelled (1.5% are) and within 15 minutes (63%).
Total trip4h 43mDCA 12:17 to MIA 17:00, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.