tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → Los Angeles via Austin: arrives on time 35%

  1. 09:48 SFO → 15:27 AUS
    DL 381 · Delta · 3h 39m · 69% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in Austin (AUS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:15 AUS → 17:31 LAX
    DL 986 · Delta · 3h 06m · 68% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 33m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 49 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection52%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 48% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time35%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (52%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip7h 33mSFO 09:48 to LAX 17:31, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.