tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Reno → Chicago via Atlanta: arrives on time 84%

  1. 22:54 RNO → 06:16 ATL
    DL 391 · Delta · 4h 22m · 78% on time, 1.3% cancelled
  2. 4h 49m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:05 ATL → 12:05 MDW +1 day
    DL 2417 · Delta · 2h 00m · 88% on time, 2.6% cancelled

Total trip 11h 11m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 2 h ahead of Reno). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 244 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 4h 49m layover.
Arrives on time84%First flight not cancelled (1.3% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (2.6% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip11h 11mRNO 22:54 to MDW 12:05, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.