tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Oakland via Los Angeles: arrives on time 38%

  1. 16:45 DCA → 19:20 LAX
    DL 392 · Delta · 5h 35m · 75% on time, 5.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 45m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 21:05 LAX → 22:25 OAK
    WN 4554 · Southwest · 1h 20m · 53% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival (Oakland is 3 h behind Washington). Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection75%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 25% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 1h 45m layover.
Arrives on time38%First flight not cancelled (5.6% are) × connection made (75%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (53%).
Total trip8h 40mDCA 16:45 to OAK 22:25, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.