tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Fort Myers → St Louis via Minneapolis: arrives on time 54%

  1. 18:15 RSW → 20:54 MSP
    DL 402 · Delta · 3h 39m · 74% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 56m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:50 MSP → 23:22 STL
    DL 1609 · Delta · 1h 33m · 78% on time, 1.1% cancelled

Total trip 6h 08m, scheduled departure to arrival (St Louis is 1 h behind Fort Myers). Times are local. Both flew on 41 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection71%The first flight arrived more than 11 minutes late on 29% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 56m layover.
Arrives on time54%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (71%) × second flight not cancelled (1.1% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip6h 08mRSW 18:15 to STL 23:22, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.