Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Seattle via Santa Ana: arrives on time 47%

  1. 07:35 JFK → 10:32 SNA
    DL 403 · Delta · 5h 57m · 84% on time, 4.7% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in Santa Ana (SNA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:20 SNA → 14:24 SEA
    DL 3966 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 3h 04m · 76% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 49m, scheduled departure to arrival (Seattle is 3 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection65%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 35% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time47%First flight not cancelled (4.7% are) × connection made (65%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip9h 49mJFK 07:35 to SEA 14:24, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.