tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Atlanta → Louisville via New York: arrives on time 81%

  1. 06:00 ATL → 08:11 LGA
    DL 404 · Delta · 2h 11m · 92% on time, 3.2% cancelled
  2. 2h 54m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:05 LGA → 13:32 SDF
    DL 5637 · Delta, flown by Republic · 2h 27m · 86% on time, 1.6% cancelled

Total trip 7h 32m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 129 minutes late on <1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 54m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (3.2% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (1.6% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip7h 32mATL 06:00 to SDF 13:32, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.