tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Bozeman → New York via Atlanta: arrives on time 55%

  1. 14:21 BZN → 20:14 ATL
    DL 406 · Delta · 3h 56m · 87% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:00 ATL → 23:23 LGA
    DL 520 · Delta · 2h 23m · 72% on time, 4.1% cancelled

Total trip 7h 02m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 2 h ahead of Bozeman). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection80%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 20% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time55%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (80%) × second flight not cancelled (4.1% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip7h 02mBZN 14:21 to LGA 23:23, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.