tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Los Angeles → Des Moines via Detroit: arrives on time 82%

  1. 22:20 LAX → 05:43 DTW
    DL 407 · Delta · 4h 23m · 80% on time, 1.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 02m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:45 DTW → 09:44 DSM +1 day
    DL 5058 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 59m · 87% on time, 2.9% cancelled

Total trip 9h 24m, scheduled departure to arrival (Des Moines is 2 h ahead of Los Angeles). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 137 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 02m layover.
Arrives on time82%First flight not cancelled (1.0% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (2.9% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip9h 24mLAX 22:20 to DSM 09:44, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.