tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Los Angeles → Washington via Detroit: arrives on time 69%

  1. 22:20 LAX → 05:43 DTW
    DL 407 · Delta · 4h 23m · 80% on time, 1.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 22m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 07:05 DTW → 08:37 DCA +1 day
    DL 1558 · Delta · 1h 32m · 81% on time, 3.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 17m, scheduled departure to arrival (Washington is 3 h ahead of Los Angeles). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection89%The first flight arrived more than 37 minutes late on 11% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 22m layover.
Arrives on time69%First flight not cancelled (1.0% are) × connection made (89%) × second flight not cancelled (3.0% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip7h 17mLAX 22:20 to DCA 08:37, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.