tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Los Angeles → New York via Detroit: arrives on time 82%

  1. 22:20 LAX → 05:43 DTW
    DL 407 · Delta · 4h 23m · 80% on time, 1.0% cancelled
  2. 4h 22m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:05 DTW → 11:50 LGA +1 day
    DL 2589 · Delta · 1h 45m · 86% on time, 3.0% cancelled

Total trip 10h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 3 h ahead of Los Angeles). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 217 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 4h 22m layover.
Arrives on time82%First flight not cancelled (1.0% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (3.0% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip10h 30mLAX 22:20 to LGA 11:50, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.