tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Los Angeles → Buffalo via Detroit: arrives on time 83%

  1. 22:20 LAX → 05:43 DTW
    DL 407 · Delta · 4h 23m · 80% on time, 1.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 24m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 07:07 DTW → 08:23 BUF +1 day
    DL 3639 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 16m · 93% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 03m, scheduled departure to arrival (Buffalo is 3 h ahead of Los Angeles). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 39 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 24m layover.
Arrives on time83%First flight not cancelled (1.0% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (93%).
Total trip7h 03mLAX 22:20 to BUF 08:23, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.