tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → New York via Atlanta: arrives on time 90%

  1. 22:58 SEA → 06:45 ATL
    DL 409 · Delta · 4h 47m · 83% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 55m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:40 ATL → 12:00 JFK +1 day
    DL 1034 · Delta · 2h 16m · 90% on time, 0.4% cancelled

Total trip 9h 58m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 3 h ahead of Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 23 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 130 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 55m layover.
Arrives on time90%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.4% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip9h 58mSEA 22:58 to JFK 12:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.