tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → New York via Atlanta: arrives on time 85%

  1. 06:00 DCA → 07:48 ATL
    DL 410 · Delta · 1h 48m · 95% on time, 3.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 52m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:40 ATL → 12:00 JFK
    DL 1034 · Delta · 2h 16m · 90% on time, 0.4% cancelled

Total trip 5h 56m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 67 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 52m layover.
Arrives on time85%First flight not cancelled (3.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.4% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip5h 56mDCA 06:00 to JFK 12:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.