tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Los Angeles → Tampa via Minneapolis: arrives on time 71%

  1. 11:15 LAX → 16:51 MSP
    DL 413 · Delta · 3h 36m · 88% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 24m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:15 MSP → 22:26 TPA
    DL 2385 · Delta · 3h 11m · 75% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 8h 11m, scheduled departure to arrival (Tampa is 3 h ahead of Los Angeles). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 39 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 24m layover.
Arrives on time71%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip8h 11mLAX 11:15 to TPA 22:26, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.