tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Anchorage → Detroit via Atlanta: arrives on time 49%

  1. 20:10 ANC → 07:06 ATL
    DL 416 · Delta · 6h 56m · 53% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 09m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:15 ATL → 10:10 DTW +1 day
    DL 2160 · Delta · 1h 55m · 80% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 10h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival (Detroit is 4 h ahead of Anchorage). Times are local. Both flew on 25 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection62%The first flight arrived more than 24 minutes late on 38% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 09m layover.
Arrives on time49%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (62%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip10h 00mANC 20:10 to DTW 10:10, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.