tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Anchorage → Los Angeles via Atlanta: arrives on time 54%

  1. 20:10 ANC → 07:06 ATL
    DL 416 · Delta · 6h 56m · 53% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 09m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:15 ATL → 09:55 LAX +1 day
    DL 898 · Delta · 4h 40m · 88% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 12h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival (Los Angeles is 1 h ahead of Anchorage). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection62%The first flight arrived more than 24 minutes late on 38% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 09m layover.
Arrives on time54%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (62%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip12h 45mANC 20:10 to LAX 09:55, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.