tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Pittsburgh via New York: arrives on time 60%

  1. 07:15 SEA → 15:45 JFK
    DL 429 · Delta · 5h 30m · 88% on time, 4.1% cancelled
  2. 3h 44m layover in New York (JFK) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:29 JFK → 21:34 PIT
    DL 5795 · Delta, flown by Republic · 2h 05m · 74% on time, 14.5% cancelled

Total trip 11h 19m, scheduled departure to arrival (Pittsburgh is 3 h ahead of Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 179 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 44m layover.
Arrives on time60%First flight not cancelled (4.1% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (14.5% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip11h 19mSEA 07:15 to PIT 21:34, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.