tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Anchorage → New York via Minneapolis: arrives on time 45%

  1. 06:00 ANC → 14:24 MSP
    DL 447 · Delta · 5h 24m · 86% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 3h 46m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:10 MSP → 22:09 JFK
    DL 5244 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 2h 59m · 52% on time, 11.0% cancelled

Total trip 12h 09m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 4 h ahead of Anchorage). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 181 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 46m layover.
Arrives on time45%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (11.0% are) and within 15 minutes (52%).
Total trip12h 09mANC 06:00 to JFK 22:09, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.