tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Anchorage → Chicago via Minneapolis: arrives on time 56%

  1. 06:00 ANC → 14:24 MSP
    DL 447 · Delta · 5h 24m · 86% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 3h 21m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:45 MSP → 19:30 ORD
    DL 2130 · Delta · 1h 45m · 61% on time, 4.5% cancelled

Total trip 10h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 3 h ahead of Anchorage). Times are local. Both flew on 42 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 156 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 21m layover.
Arrives on time56%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (4.5% are) and within 15 minutes (61%).
Total trip10h 30mANC 06:00 to ORD 19:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.