tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Anchorage → Seattle via Minneapolis: arrives on time 55%

  1. 06:00 ANC → 14:24 MSP
    DL 447 · Delta · 5h 24m · 86% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 51m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:15 MSP → 17:00 SEA
    DL 877 · Delta · 3h 45m · 75% on time, 0.8% cancelled

Total trip 10h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival (Seattle is 1 h ahead of Anchorage). Times are local. Both flew on 49 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection75%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 25% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time55%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (75%) × second flight not cancelled (0.8% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip10h 00mANC 06:00 to SEA 17:00, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.