tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Portland → Detroit via New York: arrives on time 61%

  1. 07:01 PDX → 15:39 JFK
    DL 451 · Delta · 5h 38m · 93% on time, 2.5% cancelled
  2. 3h 50m layover in New York (JFK) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:29 JFK → 21:56 DTW
    DL 1253 · Delta · 2h 27m · 71% on time, 11.6% cancelled

Total trip 11h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival (Detroit is 3 h ahead of Portland). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 185 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 50m layover.
Arrives on time61%First flight not cancelled (2.5% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (11.6% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip11h 55mPDX 07:01 to DTW 21:56, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.