tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Nashville via New York: arrives on time 72%

  1. 22:20 SEA → 06:34 JFK
    DL 452 · Delta · 5h 14m · 86% on time, 3.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 10m layover in New York (JFK) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 07:44 JFK → 09:20 BNA +1 day
    DL 4919 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 2h 36m · 83% on time, 2.6% cancelled

Total trip 9h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival (Nashville is 2 h ahead of Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection91%The first flight arrived more than 25 minutes late on 9% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 10m layover.
Arrives on time72%First flight not cancelled (3.0% are) × connection made (91%) × second flight not cancelled (2.6% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip9h 00mSEA 22:20 to BNA 09:20, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.