tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Los Angeles → Washington via Hebron: arrives on time 62%

  1. 22:55 LAX → 06:07 CVG
    DL 458 · Delta · 4h 12m · 85% on time, 1.8% cancelled
  2. 53m layover in Hebron (CVG) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 07:00 CVG → 08:33 DCA +1 day
    DL 5229 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 33m · 79% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 6h 38m, scheduled departure to arrival (Washington is 3 h ahead of Los Angeles). Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection80%The first flight arrived more than 8 minutes late on 20% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 53m layover.
Arrives on time62%First flight not cancelled (1.8% are) × connection made (80%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip6h 38mLAX 22:55 to DCA 08:33, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.