tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Atlanta → Asheville via New York: arrives on time 46%

  1. 13:30 ATL → 15:49 LGA
    DL 460 · Delta · 2h 19m · 78% on time, 3.0% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:44 LGA → 19:00 AVL
    DL 4665 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 2h 17m · 69% on time, 7.9% cancelled

Total trip 5h 31m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection74%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 26% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time46%First flight not cancelled (3.0% are) × connection made (74%) × second flight not cancelled (7.9% are) and within 15 minutes (69%).
Total trip5h 31mATL 13:30 to AVL 19:00, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.