tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Kahului → Phoenix via Los Angeles: arrives on time 73%

  1. 13:05 OGG → 21:30 LAX
    DL 463 · Delta · 5h 25m · 80% on time, 0.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:35 LAX → 00:10 PHX +1 day
    DL 3827 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 35m · 89% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 3 h ahead of Kahului). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection82%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 18% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time73%First flight not cancelled (0.4% are) × connection made (82%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip8h 05mOGG 13:05 to PHX 00:10, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.