tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Atlanta → San Diego via Las Vegas: arrives on time 44%

  1. 11:00 ATL → 12:10 LAS
    DL 466 · Delta · 4h 10m · 80% on time, 0.7% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:56 LAS → 14:17 SAN
    DL 3741 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 21m · 79% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 17m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Diego is 3 h behind Atlanta). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection57%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 43% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time44%First flight not cancelled (0.7% are) × connection made (57%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip6h 17mATL 11:00 to SAN 14:17, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.