tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Las Vegas → Des Moines via Detroit: arrives on time 63%

  1. 09:59 LAS → 16:59 DTW
    DL 470 · Delta · 4h 00m · 91% on time, 0.3% cancelled
  2. 2h 46m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:45 DTW → 20:41 DSM
    DL 5087 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 56m · 65% on time, 1.6% cancelled

Total trip 8h 42m, scheduled departure to arrival (Des Moines is 2 h ahead of Las Vegas). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 121 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 46m layover.
Arrives on time63%First flight not cancelled (0.3% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (1.6% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip8h 42mLAS 09:59 to DSM 20:41, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.