tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Las Vegas → Memphis via Detroit: arrives on time 75%

  1. 09:59 LAS → 16:59 DTW
    DL 470 · Delta · 4h 00m · 91% on time, 0.3% cancelled
  2. 3h 06m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:05 DTW → 21:04 MEM
    DL 1230 · Delta · 1h 59m · 79% on time, 4.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival (Memphis is 2 h ahead of Las Vegas). Times are local. Both flew on 49 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 141 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 06m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (0.3% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (4.0% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip9h 05mLAS 09:59 to MEM 21:04, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.