tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Kahului → Phoenix via Los Angeles: arrives on time 85%

  1. 21:50 OGG → 06:10 LAX
    DL 476 · Delta · 5h 20m · 92% on time, 1.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 51m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:01 LAX → 11:34 PHX +1 day
    DL 3951 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 33m · 86% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 10h 44m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 3 h ahead of Kahului). Times are local. Both flew on 43 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 186 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 51m layover.
Arrives on time85%First flight not cancelled (1.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip10h 44mOGG 21:50 to PHX 11:34, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.