tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Atlanta → Sacramento via Seattle: arrives on time 90%

  1. 14:32 ATL → 16:49 SEA
    DL 481 · Delta · 5h 16m · 80% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 36m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:25 SEA → 22:28 SMF
    DL 4131 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 2h 03m · 91% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 10h 56m, scheduled departure to arrival (Sacramento is 3 h behind Atlanta). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 171 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 36m layover.
Arrives on time90%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (91%).
Total trip10h 56mATL 14:32 to SMF 22:28, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.