tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Kailua/Kona → San Francisco via Seattle: arrives on time 61%

  1. 20:50 KOA → 05:49 SEA
    DL 485 · Delta · 5h 59m · 93% on time, 2.6% cancelled
  2. 3h 56m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:45 SEA → 12:08 SFO +1 day
    DL 1412 · Delta · 2h 23m · 64% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 12h 18m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Francisco is 3 h ahead of Kailua/Kona). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 191 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 56m layover.
Arrives on time61%First flight not cancelled (2.6% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (64%).
Total trip12h 18mKOA 20:50 to SFO 12:08, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.