tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Kailua/Kona → Phoenix via Seattle: arrives on time 89%

  1. 20:50 KOA → 05:49 SEA
    DL 485 · Delta · 5h 59m · 93% on time, 2.6% cancelled
  2. 2h 21m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:10 SEA → 11:08 PHX +1 day
    DL 2419 · Delta · 2h 58m · 92% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 11h 18m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 3 h ahead of Kailua/Kona). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 96 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 21m layover.
Arrives on time89%First flight not cancelled (2.6% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (92%).
Total trip11h 18mKOA 20:50 to PHX 11:08, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.