tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Kailua/Kona → Sacramento via Seattle: arrives on time 89%

  1. 20:50 KOA → 05:49 SEA
    DL 485 · Delta · 5h 59m · 93% on time, 2.6% cancelled
  2. 2h 58m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:47 SEA → 10:50 SMF +1 day
    DL 3881 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 2h 03m · 92% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 11h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival (Sacramento is 3 h ahead of Kailua/Kona). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 133 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 58m layover.
Arrives on time89%First flight not cancelled (2.6% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (92%).
Total trip11h 00mKOA 20:50 to SMF 10:50, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.