tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Kailua/Kona → Phoenix via Los Angeles: arrives on time 81%

  1. 21:37 KOA → 06:00 LAX
    DL 486 · Delta · 5h 23m · 90% on time, 2.7% cancelled
  2. 2h 19m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:19 LAX → 09:55 PHX +1 day
    DL 4119 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 35m · 85% on time, 1.9% cancelled

Total trip 9h 17m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 3 h ahead of Kailua/Kona). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 94 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 19m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (2.7% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (1.9% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip9h 17mKOA 21:37 to PHX 09:55, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.